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Scientists may be ideological, but science is not


Sunday, February 21, 2010

The comments on my last essay about science denialism suggest that in public discourse there continues to be a pervasive and unhelpful conflation of science and politics, which should always be kept separate. Unfortunately, this conflation is not restricted to the vocal lay public and politicians (from whom it might always be expected) but is also commonly perpetrated by well-meaning scientists who are passionate in their reasonable belief that science should inform policy.

Many commenters seemed to believe that I lament the fact that discourse about developing scientific theories is no longer (if it ever was) confined to the scientific community, but in fact I simply provided my interpretation of how the internet has affected the recent history of scientific consensus. My argument is that scientists need to recognize the reality of the eavesdropping of laypeople (and the subsequent manipulation of what they believe they heard), and realize that they must hold themselves to a high standard in what sort of public face they put on science, because vocal nonscientists are affecting policy apparently more successfully than science is.

We can no longer wave off science denialism as a quirk of uneducated publicity hounds and ignore its importance, because this common response to denialism is somewhat justifiably viewed as arrogant; in truth the burden is squarely on the shoulders of scientists to address this growing problem. More than two years ago I argued here that the scientific community itself is largely responsible for poor scientific understanding by the public, because of the tendency of scientists to try and make their work sound more important by the common use of jargon and self-important language that by objective standards demonstrate extremely poor communication skills.

The lack of interest that most of us seem to have in properly communicating what we do to nonscientists has disastrously combined with the thoughtless conflation by scientists of science with policy. Scientists as a community continue to struggle with the idea of whether or not they should be advocates of particular policy positions related to their scientific fields, as evidenced by a recent editorial [Lymn, N and S. Silver (2010) A fine dividing line. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8(1):3] in the journal of the Ecological Society of America (ESA), Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (excerpted here):

One of the thorniest debates among ecologists is whether they should become involved in policy making and politics…there has always been some tension between ESA members who believe ecologists should focus solely on their research and those who assert that they and their colleagues should engage in policy outreach, making ecological knowledge relevant to decision makers.

The reason this debate occurs is because scientists so often make a botch of their advocacy. There are two main problems. The first is that many scientists do not make clear to their audiences, both intended and inadvertant, that the process of science is free from ideological advocacy, and that their own advocacy is completely separate from their work as scientists. This is hard to do, of course, which is why some scientists feel strongly that advocacy should be left to nonscientists (e.g., Al Gore), so as not to give the mistaken impression that advocates are representing science itself, which properly has no ideology.

This is the key to a lot of the anti-science vitriol: scientists are becoming increasingly viewed by many as some sort of political interest group equal to all the ideologically based lobbyists, and thus science itself is questioned and assumed to be opinion-based, because scientists are not properly separating their advocacy from their work. It should be noted that ESA as an organization takes great pains to show that their only function in policy is as a resource to which policy makers can turn when they want to know what the science objectively states:

ESA is one of hundreds of organizations with a presence in Washington, DC. As a scientific society, what distinguishes it from advocacy organizations is that the Society works to inform decision makers, based on the ecological expertise of its 10 000 members. In contrast to advocacy organizations, ESA doesn’t make the policy decisions in advance and then lobby policy makers to act accordingly. Instead, through congressional briefings, position statements, and one-on-one meetings, the Society lays out a menu of options – based on the best available science – for decision makers to consider.

Part of the reason that people view the concept of “scientific consensus” suspiciously (if not downright hostilely on these and other pages) is that scientists are lousy at explaining how scientific consensus is reached. Here is one scientist’s attempt to do do:

While anyone can see that throughout history ideology has certainly affected what sort of studies certain scientists have done and how they have interpreted the results of those studies, the key here is that because real science is not ideological, ideologcially based “scientific” ideas will be fairly quickly weeded out from mainstream scientific consensus, because they will be shown to be unsupported when rigorous scientific methods are applied. Scientific consensus is not necessarily the truth (e.g. the best understanding people had of geological processes before plate tectonics), but as evidence accumulates, it will be altered if necessary. This is the important difference between ideology and science. A person’s ideology rarely changes in the face of facts that contradict that person’s world view. Scientific consensus absolutely does change all the time, as can be seen repeatedly over history, because it is based on data accumulated under very particular standards.

Yes, there is a lot of bad peer-reviewed science out there. Identifying bad science with the intention of steering it in a more rigorous direction is one of the primary functions of Bioblog. This type of recognition of bad methodology followed by research with better methodology is actually how scientists move any field along to better understanding.

So, my various commenters, you can’t pick and choose which science you “agree” with and which you don’t, as if the science itself were a policy position. The scientific consensus in any field is the best we can say about that field at this time, and it is always evolving, but when 98% percent of scientists in a field agree on the general conclusions, you can bet that the data are pretty solid. Yes, conclusions can change when valid new data are introduced into the mix. That’s what’s good about science, not what’s bad. Applying some sort of ideological test to scientific consensus simply makes no sense.

Scientists who decide to become policy advocates have been guilty of muddying the waters so that people equate science with ideology, because they have not made clear that their opinions regarding policy have nothing to do with the scientific consensus. There is another problem too: many advocates of what they might consider science-based policy do not at all understand the science that they use to support it, so they say stupid things that makes them sound like idiots, which the public interprets as weakness in the science, rather than foolishness of the messenger.

Although I am an ecologist, I am not comfortable explaining the science of climate change (rule of thumb: if you can’t teach an upper-level undergraduate course on the subject, you definitely don’t know enough to spout off to the public). Climate change is an incredibly complex field involving ecology, meteorology, chemistry, physics, oceanography, and probably other specialties. Thus it takes decades of work in the field for someone to be a true scientific authority on climate change. Even though the accumulated decades of data and conclusions supporting anthropogenic climate change satisfies my standards as a scientist, if I were out there trying to explain the science of climate change to laypeople in order to convince them to support a particular policy, I would not be at all effective, because my superficial understanding of the science would undermine it and make the evidence seem flimsy and unconvincing to nonscientists. (This is another reason that the mindless ideological rejection of a fact so clearly established as evolution has been elevated to a “debate” – unfortunately there are many well-meaning scientists who are not evolutionary biologists, but think wrongly that they understand and can explain the intricacies of a subject that people get doctorates in. You do not see this phenomenon with other scientific fields such as, say, particle physics.)

In the end, scientists will always have a difficult battle with ideology, because the playing field is not level. Denialists have a much easier time than scientists do in promoting their ideas, because by definition their pronouncements do not have to meet any minimum standard of rigorous evaluation (although they like to pretend that they do). But scientists need to start separating their political beliefs from their position as scientists, because when they try to exploit that position to add authority to their statements, they are more likely to undermine that authority – and science itself – because they just end up sounding like ideologues in their arguments. Civic-minded scientists who just can’t help themselves have an added and crucial responsibility to separate their advocacy from their work, even if they know the field backwards and forwards. Because science never advocates; it simply explicates. It is unfortunate that this is not more widely understood.

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5 Responses to “Scientists may be ideological, but science is not”

  1. TigerHawk Says:

    All fair and true as far as it goes. There are a couple of observations I would make, though.

    First, the reliance of most scientists on government money to do their work would have to, I would think, influence the subjects that they choose to research. More to the point, if they understand that government money comes with a policy objective attached and that future government money will not be forthcoming if their own results threaten that policy objective, some scientists will lack the fortitude to avoid putting their thumb on the scale. I know of no way out of this trap, since other sources of money (e.g., corporate) have their own shortcomings or (e.g. university general budgets) are wholly inadequate to the demands of modern science.

    Second, the “ClimateGate” email scandal reveals, I think, that the leading scientists in that field are pursuing a policy agenda and not always with complete intellectual honesty. Not people at the periphery, but the very top guys. That revelation has a much more powerful “impeachment effect” than if some random dude at some out of the way place were pandering for his next grant.

    Third, the problem with climate science is that all the policy turns on the science’s dodgiest aspect, which is the use of computer models to predict the future (without increasing the slope of future trends and making very big assumptions about whether feedbacks are positive or negative, you cannot justify the policy response demanded by the advocates). These models were not constructed transparently, nor (we now know) using modern process controls that we *require* for all mission critical code. The process development used for the model at East Anglia, for example, would be laughed at by the FDA if it were used in a medical device.

    Fourth, modern technology allows for a great deal of transparency, but the climate scientists have not taken use of it. So, for example, it would be possible to document, ex ante, the reason for each manual adjustment for the data at each weather station and do so transparently on the web, allowing for others to comment and approve or object. Why not do that? Instead, people are forced to submit FOIA requests and fight for years to get information that the taxpayers paid for. Same with the code — why not build it using open source techniques? Post the code, document the subroutines you are trying to build, the data you are using to test them, and let all the geeks in the world try their hand at doing it better? Candidly, I think that the real reason this fairly obvious and inherently credible process does not happen has nothing to do with conspiracy, but rather than scientists have an understandable professional need to get the “credit” for their discoveries, which becomes a lot harder in a big collaborative venture.

  2. biotunes Says:

    That where the money comes from affects the science we do is without a doubt. Colleagues and I have been joking for years that there’s no point in submitting a proposal to NSF without sprinkling the phrase “global warming” liberally throughout. This certainly does a disservice to the objective pursuit of science. From your perspective, I realize this constitutes an insidious agenda. But again, scientific consensus on the topic is at least clear. I would object strongly though if one had to pander to a scientific idea that was not clearly consensus. The way the government spends public money is infuriating to us all – we all just have different areas we think are frivolous. But when private money funds the research, the special interest in the outcome is clear.

    You are more right than you know about scientists and their data hoarding. I realize all kinds of people out there are calling for transparency, but the unfortunate truth is that scientists do steal each other’s work often enough that I am sympathetic to that impulse. Academia is a cut-throat world because there are so many more highly qualified Ph.D.’s than jobs (yours truly being a prime example).

    Modeling the climate of the whole planet is of course an entirely more complex matter than anything constructed for a medical device. It’s a messy business, but if you think the climate change consensus is built purely on models, you are living in the past. The general trend is that data are showing changes to be occurring more quickly than even the offendingly opaque models have predicted. Measuring the planet’s temperature, sure, that’s hard and open to different methodology. But the volume of ice melting and the number of species whose distributions are changing cannot be ignored.

    The East Anglia idiots prove my point exactly – as I said, even experts mishandle advocacy badly, so that even intelligent people like you make the mistake of believing it undermines the science, rather than the scientists. But nothing in “Climate Gate” did anything to undermine the broad scientific consensus of climate change, because the overall data are so overwhelming. Scientists are simply too nonconformist in their tendencies for a group of thousands to be advancing an agenda without scientific basis in lockstep. Just wouldn’t happen. Scientists may be human, but science is an emergent property that transcends our faults.

    (And as an entirely separate policy position from anything to do with me being a scientist, I take Friedman’s view that there isn’t a true downside to going greener. I still believe firmly that if we had followed Carter’s vision and veered off into getting away from middle eastern oil 30 years ago – and we could have if we had tried – a long string of events culminating in September 11 never would have happened.)

  3. TigerHawk Says:

    I agree with the last point, and supported Clinton’s BTU tax and have long advocated for a high gasoline tax, both of which would have pushed us in the right direction. That deals with transportation, but does not really solve the political fight between coal and nuclear for power plans, which coal won in this country because the environmentalists and trial lawyers and Hollywood liberals opposed nuclear. I have yet to hear an apology for that decision.

    I am not so sure that “Climate Gate” did *nothing* to undermine the science. If I understand the revelations about the tree ring data, it does a lot of damage to the “hockey stick.” The inclusion of that data right up until the 1960s (or whatever) and then the rejection of its use to “hide the decline” after it diverged from the modern temperature record strikes pretty much every non-climate scientist with a brain as extremely unprincipled. But maybe I don’t understand the theory.

  4. Tissue engineering pages | Tissue Engineering Addict Says:

    [...] Scientists may be ideological, but science is not [...]

  5. lymn Says:

    [...] store Selfridges — after she pulled out of launching her new fake tan range at their famousScientists may be ideological, but science is notM.L. Henneman has a Ph.D. in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, with extensive field, … fields, as [...]

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